0x828c5074ea7f4dac66ef546ab5e3ce38f15086da
0x828c5074ea7f4dac66ef546ab5e3ce38f15086da
- Realised P&L
- $-310.98
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,200
- Open portfolio
- $38.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,200
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.981 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.09 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.985 | 0.992 | $4.96 | +$0.03 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.986 | $4.93 | −$0.02 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on October 20? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.976 | $4.88 | −$0.01 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.971 | 0.964 | $4.82 | −$0.04 |
| EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.993 | 0.957 | $4.79 | −$0.18 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 20? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.956 | $4.78 | −$0.10 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.984 | 0.951 | $4.75 | −$0.17 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 16? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.49at 0.712Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$31.30at 0.733Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$23.90at 0.901Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$23.21at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$22.80at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 00:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 00:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 06-17 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-17 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 06-17 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 06-17 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 06-17 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 06-17 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 06-17 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-17 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-17 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 06-17 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 06-17 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-17 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 06-17 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |