lukizhue
0x828b1b2460542b488ac0cb2ca7ad6ca9d17cc859
- Realised P&L
- $0.95
- Volume
- $957.69
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $49.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.012 | $16.07 | +$13.39 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.080 | 0.055 | $13.75 | −$6.25 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $11.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.153 | $3.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $2.55 | +$0.51 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.135 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.005 | $0.03 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.876Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:24 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 02:18 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.44 |
| 10-31 02:17 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 10-31 02:14 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 10-31 02:12 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.80 |
| 10-31 01:53 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.153999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:48 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:05 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.153999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:05 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.153999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 00:57 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 00:52 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 10-31 00:52 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 10-30 23:43 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.62 |
| 10-30 23:22 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.153999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 23:16 | Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |