albrtp
0x827be71cb921a3555a9dd047354b1efa0dd835d0
- Realised P&L
- $14.56
- Volume
- $327.25
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $4.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.116 | $1.31 | +$1.06 |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.495 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.138 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.019 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.67at 0.091Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$5.82at 0.340Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
- +$1.04at 0.490Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?
- +$0.21at 0.840Maduro out in 2025?
- +$-1.00at 0.015Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:51 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.60 |
| 08-25 17:45 | Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.41 |
| 08-24 21:27 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 21:27 | Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 21:27 | Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.1219998975 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 21:26 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3799999696 | $4.00 |
| 05-16 22:05 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0869999486 | $1.50 |
| 12-28 17:59 | Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? | BUY | 0.359999904 | $1.50 |
| 12-16 09:42 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.35 |
| 11-11 10:23 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.21 |
| 10-15 16:40 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 08:21 | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? | BUY | 0.0153754493 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 19:42 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 18:39 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $6.00 |
| 06-20 10:05 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |