PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Niksic

0x827356dd4b090d0b19589ff4c49debb6e1886e1a

Realised P&L
$-563.27
Volume
$18.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$347.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? · No0.4160.670$347.06+$131.73
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.1440.000$0.00−$487.67
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$29.81
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2080.000$0.00−$746.34
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$100.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$182.99
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 10:34Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4221089722$212.34
09-28 22:18Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.2$2.99
09-15 16:18Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.14$274.67
09-15 15:10Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.15$213.00
09-12 22:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$338.90
09-12 22:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999999$300.00
09-11 16:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$107.45
09-11 16:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1799999998$182.99
07-23 13:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7219999998$392.59
07-19 03:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.595$236.81
07-18 17:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$1.1k
07-01 17:46Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?BUY0.1299999964$29.81
06-30 21:46Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2799999981$100.00
06-27 20:06Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
06-27 20:06Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.05$50.00