Niksic
0x827356dd4b090d0b19589ff4c49debb6e1886e1a
- Realised P&L
- $-563.27
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $347.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.416 | 0.670 | $347.06 | +$131.73 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$487.67 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.81 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$746.34 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$182.99 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$738.48at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$516.48at 0.336Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$156.39at 0.607Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$145.71at 0.732Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4221089722 | $212.34 |
| 09-28 22:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.99 |
| 09-15 16:18 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $274.67 |
| 09-15 15:10 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $213.00 |
| 09-12 22:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $338.90 |
| 09-12 22:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 16:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $107.45 |
| 09-11 16:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $182.99 |
| 07-23 13:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7219999998 | $392.59 |
| 07-19 03:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.595 | $236.81 |
| 07-18 17:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.1k |
| 07-01 17:46 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia? | BUY | 0.1299999964 | $29.81 |
| 06-30 21:46 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 20:06 | Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-27 20:06 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |