ah-weather-highest-strangle
0x8271ba6c18b509200daf2649c56e1513fa5d320c
- Realised P&L
- $35.10
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,425
- Open portfolio
- $632.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,425
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.19at 0.921Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 9?
- +$4.31at 0.933Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3?
- +$3.65at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 10?
- +$3.65at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 7?
- +$3.18at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9699999968 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.01 |
| 09-17 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.01 |
| 09-17 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.01 |
| 09-17 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.01 |
| 09-17 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.01 |
| 09-17 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.11 |