PolyBot

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Traders

ah-weather-highest-strangle

0x8271ba6c18b509200daf2649c56e1513fa5d320c

Realised P&L
$35.10
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
2,425
Open portfolio
$632.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,425
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 18? · No0.9801.000$12.24+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 18? · No0.9901.000$12.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? · No0.9901.000$12.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 18? · No0.9901.000$12.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on September 18? · No0.9931.000$12.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? · No0.9941.000$12.07+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 18? · No0.9951.000$12.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 18? · No0.9981.000$12.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on September 18? · No0.9981.000$12.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 18? · No0.9970.999$12.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 18? · No0.9980.999$12.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 18? · No0.9991.000$12.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on September 18? · No0.9991.000$12.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 18? · No0.9991.000$12.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on September 18? · No0.9991.000$12.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:38Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 18?BUY0.999$6.00
09-17 23:08Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 18?BUY0.9699999968$6.00
09-17 23:08Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 18?BUY0.998$6.00
09-17 19:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.98$12.00
09-17 17:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 17?SELL0.999$12.01
09-17 17:52Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on September 17?SELL0.999$12.01
09-17 17:51Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 17?SELL0.999$12.01
09-17 17:51Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.01
09-17 17:51Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.01
09-17 17:50Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.05
09-17 17:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.05
09-17 17:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.05
09-17 17:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.05
09-17 17:49Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 17?SELL0.999$12.05
09-17 17:48Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 17?SELL0.999$12.11