YiW8
0x82709cd6eb276734927f08e83ac10e9b18b57e22
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $392.9k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $505.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 23? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $263.88 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 24? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $242.12 | −$0.85 |
| Riley Greene: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.93 |
| XRP Up or Down - July 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$882.70at 0.930Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
- +$407.63at 0.990Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$370.55at 0.990Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$43.09at 0.284Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5
- +$25.51at 0.989US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:05 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $263.75 |
| 09-20 06:04 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $140 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 13:58 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $242.97 |
| 08-01 01:26 | Riley Greene: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $21.73 |
| 08-01 01:24 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $19.60 |
| 08-01 01:17 | Riley Greene: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.22 | $1.20 |
| 07-22 17:09 | Segovia: Florent Bax vs Paul Inchauspe | BUY | 0.97 | $421.40 |
| 07-14 16:09 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.994 | $385.91 |
| 07-14 16:06 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.992 | $95.59 |
| 06-23 04:50 | Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 06-11 02:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $505.12 |
| 06-06 06:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $77.91 |
| 06-02 17:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $484.60 |
| 05-18 04:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $484.11 |
| 05-12 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $504.18 |