ANDRESIN
0x826e87f4088bf1508ef2f8c68779e066f834df69
- Realised P&L
- $23.74
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $18.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.975 | $10.72 | +$2.69 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.365 | $7.30 | −$5.90 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.92at 0.178Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
- +$33.16at 0.617US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
- +$15.50at 0.040Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$12.88at 0.747US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$4.20at 0.150Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:32 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.05 |
| 09-26 20:32 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.20 |
| 08-26 13:03 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $47.88 |
| 06-14 14:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $8.58 |
| 06-11 16:37 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.20 |
| 06-11 16:35 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 06-10 16:23 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.34 |
| 06-10 11:44 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.68 |
| 06-09 19:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 14:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 06-08 11:10 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.02 |
| 03-29 06:09 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.057 | $7.09 |
| 03-29 06:01 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.059 | $31.67 |
| 02-13 09:17 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.04 |
| 02-08 09:33 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.065 | $0.01 |