Mahakaal468
0x825dec4389e452c5e988bff4de8e61a2a0c680e8
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $313.1k
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $107.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.222Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.119Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$1.0kat 0.168Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?
- +$966.52at 0.084Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?
- +$966.08at 0.206Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 09-30 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.058683 | $58.68 |
| 09-30 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.1197148 | $23.94 |
| 09-30 14:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $42.00 |
| 09-30 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.138 | $13.80 |
| 09-30 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.229 | $22.90 |
| 09-30 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.9k |
| 09-30 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 12:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 11:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.428795616 | $35.60 |
| 09-30 11:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 09-30 11:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 09-30 06:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 09-30 04:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $51.03 |