0x825De18f13DB7819636Dc3c1cD35d2a189791633-1761449037255
0x825de18f13db7819636dc3c1cd35d2a189791633
- Realised P&L
- $99.89
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $17.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.98at 0.057Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$157.40at 0.113Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$52.83at 0.275Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$40.61at 0.330Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$23.40at 0.461Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 06:28 | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-27 06:26 | Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-27 06:26 | Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-27 06:25 | Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.76 | $28.88 |
| 06-13 17:07 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 06-13 17:06 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 06-13 17:06 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 06-13 17:06 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 06-13 17:06 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 06-13 17:06 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 06-13 17:05 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 06-13 17:05 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.062 | $6.20 |
| 06-13 17:05 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 06-11 07:12 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.23 | $18.40 |
| 06-11 07:11 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |