PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vcentr

0x825786d127858ce022e8a39f6ffea70affbb5c78

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$141.7k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.3800.935$1.2k+$730.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.5420.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 14? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00−$277.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00−$197.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5PM ET · Up0.4590.000$0.00−$250.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 14? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$259.85
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$442.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET · Up0.2270.000$0.00−$250.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2PM ET · Up0.0890.000$0.00−$225.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 10? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00−$804.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5AM ET · Up0.1340.000$0.00−$497.66
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00−$429.19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$65.93
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 15? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:23Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.3799578245$500.00
09-16 08:42Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?BUY0.17$330.49
09-15 14:10Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?BUY0.3399999998$500.00
09-15 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ETBUY0.4899999992$100.00
09-15 12:31Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.1899999999$300.00
09-11 14:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?SELL0.76$1.2k
09-11 12:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETSELL0.5227332134$679.94
09-11 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETBUY0.123685838$100.00
09-11 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETBUY0.3765358691$25.00
09-11 12:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETBUY0.4099999984$25.00
09-11 12:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETBUY0.5507642341$100.00
09-11 12:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETBUY0.5455266809$100.00
09-11 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7AM ETSELL0.8$642.59
09-11 11:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7AM ETBUY0.1890784505$100.00
09-11 11:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7AM ETBUY0.31$2.79