AltcoinJester
0x825542effbd696f8367920bd506c5623bd86a46c
- Realised P&L
- $-32.11
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $2.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a power grid emergency in the Central US before October 1? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $2.96 | −$13.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.21at 0.380Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$7.01at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?
- +$5.92at 0.400Will Solana hit $250 by January 31, 2025?
- +$4.59at 0.500XRP Up or Down - January 7, 6PM ET
- +$3.88at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:02 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.18 | $6.99 |
| 08-11 20:24 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $28.66 |
| 08-11 18:34 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.6355168798 | $30.31 |
| 07-16 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 07-16 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.7194736842 | $6.83 |
| 04-02 16:38 | Spurs vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.5 | $9.78 |
| 03-16 14:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $3.09 |
| 03-10 13:16 | Solana Up or Down - March 10, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999785 | $3.91 |
| 02-18 23:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999793 | $2.95 |
| 02-13 00:51 | Solana Up or Down - February 14, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999932 | $3.77 |
| 02-04 03:10 | Solana Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999692 | $3.15 |
| 01-19 02:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999793 | $2.95 |
| 01-13 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BUY | 0.5099999832 | $7.30 |
| 01-06 23:26 | XRP Up or Down - January 7, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.59 |
| 01-02 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999371 | $3.89 |