UsernameAlreadyTaken
0x8252c06ba8c47cf4d59ff96e52d7c54f6c2dd75c
- Realised P&L
- $-18.50
- Volume
- $411.11
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $48.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.34at 0.299Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
- +$1.63at 0.380Will LockedIn Poker reach his $100k goal by August 31?
- +$1.63at 0.380Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
- +$1.00at 0.500Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?
- +$0.81at 0.71210-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 22:38 | Will Mamdani attend the Rental Ripoff hearing on February 26? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 06:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 06:17 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.9409999556 | $20.00 |
| 02-11 06:16 | Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 05:11 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999993 | $20.00 |
| 02-11 05:11 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.15 |
| 02-11 05:10 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.26 |
| 07-31 17:30 | Will Kamala Harris announce Presidential run by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:30 | Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:33 | US stagflation in 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:33 | Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:32 | Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:32 | US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:32 | Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.2989998445 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:32 | Will Xi visit the US before September? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |