0x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-1777748373551
0x8251d7c1ca289bc0d993b4f6eae36785472e879d
- Realised P&L
- $175.04
- Volume
- $552.6k
- Markets traded
- 494
- Open portfolio
- $495.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded494
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.129US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.205Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
- +$3.1kat 0.017Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.323US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.653Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 08:27 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $1.80 |
| 10-02 21:58 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 21:58 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-02 21:57 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2399999995 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 10:17 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%? | BUY | 0.4199999012 | $1.70 |
| 10-02 10:17 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 10:15 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 10:13 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 22:50 | Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 22:50 | Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 09:17 | Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 09:16 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $8.00 |
| 10-01 09:16 | Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3727272698 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 09:06 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 09:06 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |