PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x824fcE286D9292bf265243d7D08cE927800f4d6b-1776459809173

0x824fce286d9292bf265243d7d08ce927800f4d6b

Realised P&L
$-116.09
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$74.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0920.078$63.71$11.29
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.1280.050$5.80$9.20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1570.075$4.78$5.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 00:56Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1899999978$60.00
05-26 19:08Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
05-18 20:34Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?BUY0.1699999972$50.00
05-18 20:32Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?BUY0.0333333333$10.00
05-17 22:41Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.1129844756$50.00
05-14 01:04Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0667915963$25.00
05-14 00:55Obama federally charged before 2027?BUY0.1279421712$15.00
04-22 15:57U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?BUY0.001$1.00
04-18 15:47Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.156916589$10.00
04-18 13:34Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?BUY0.0176563892$1.00
04-18 13:33Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
04-18 01:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
04-18 01:07Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?BUY0.179999987$10.00