PolyBot

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Traders

Kevdom

0x824ee3d8b32675c678e1e44895c3e9aac556a712

Realised P&L
$-8.13
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$15.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? · Yes0.6900.735$15.42+$0.94
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$5.25
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.00
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 14:41Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?SELL0.06$0.57
08-31 14:41Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?SELL0.12$0.65
08-31 14:40Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?SELL0.08$0.72
07-13 21:51Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 14?SELL0.27$0.18
07-13 19:01Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.67$14.07
07-13 18:59Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?BUY0.2$1.80
07-13 18:58Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?BUY0.1$0.92
07-13 18:57Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$7.98
06-01 10:03Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?SELL0.58$11.22
06-01 10:03Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.6099999891$11.80
05-31 06:27Mongolia leading at halftime?SELL0.07$1.24
05-31 06:27Singapore vs. Mongolia: Draw at halftime?SELL0.28$5.60
05-31 06:27Mongolia leading at halftime?BUY0.0899999527$1.60
05-31 06:27Singapore vs. Mongolia: Draw at halftime?BUY0.31$6.20
05-30 23:50Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-31?SELL0.4$7.99