Kevdom
0x824ee3d8b32675c678e1e44895c3e9aac556a712
- Realised P&L
- $-8.13
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $15.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.735 | $15.42 | +$0.94 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.25 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.49at 0.490Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
- +$4.88at 0.268Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
- +$3.65at 0.114Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.104Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?
- +$2.64at 0.206Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 14:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.57 |
| 08-31 14:41 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.65 |
| 08-31 14:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.72 |
| 07-13 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 14? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.18 |
| 07-13 19:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.67 | $14.07 |
| 07-13 18:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.80 |
| 07-13 18:58 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.92 |
| 07-13 18:57 | Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $7.98 |
| 06-01 10:03 | Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.22 |
| 06-01 10:03 | Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.6099999891 | $11.80 |
| 05-31 06:27 | Mongolia leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.24 |
| 05-31 06:27 | Singapore vs. Mongolia: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 05-31 06:27 | Mongolia leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.0899999527 | $1.60 |
| 05-31 06:27 | Singapore vs. Mongolia: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 05-30 23:50 | Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-31? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.99 |