timelesspo
0x824a5af989187d38298905047a0bd8be462175f7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $53.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,861
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,861
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.92at 0.126Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$31.31at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$30.91at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$24.39at 0.115Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$22.36at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 04:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.1649999744 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 10? | SELL | 0.231 | $1.16 |
| 10-07 20:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.1989999853 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $1.21 |
| 10-07 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $1.80 |
| 10-07 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999129 | $1.86 |
| 10-06 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $1.95 |
| 10-06 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 17:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $1.27 |
| 10-06 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998747 | $1.71 |
| 10-06 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |