CHIEF009
0x824a472b5449e864d56bc263d590bed3c93d64db
- Realised P&L
- $-5.82
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $55.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.055 | $55.65 | −$20.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.03at 0.661Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-07-31?
- +$-0.82at 0.069Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
- +$-0.89at 0.182Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.07at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$-1.08at 0.403Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:52 | Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-31 19:10 | Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.5599999915 | $2.64 |
| 07-31 19:10 | Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.539765625 | $2.76 |
| 07-31 19:04 | Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.5799999922 | $2.97 |
| 07-31 18:56 | Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.04 |
| 07-31 11:09 | Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6499999508 | $1.98 |
| 07-31 11:05 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.0413458318 | $1.14 |
| 07-18 13:35 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.0752248852 | $76.11 |
| 07-15 20:21 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.0669779493 | $1.84 |
| 07-15 20:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.109 | $1.24 |
| 07-14 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:07 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.199 | $1.02 |
| 07-14 12:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1749999344 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 12:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3909999202 | $2.00 |