xauibgo
0x82464f729b35ca51d32120731915d4b360eb578e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.78
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $102.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $20 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $46.23 | −$0.02 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 14-20? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $34.10 | −$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.996 | $22.57 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.65at 0.749Will Solana dip to $10 in April?
- +$26.46at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$18.65at 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
- +$0.38at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
- +$0.31at 0.995Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $22.55 |
| 09-17 12:00 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.25 |
| 09-17 12:00 | Will Solana dip to $20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.25 |
| 08-13 03:05 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.85 |
| 08-13 03:04 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.00 |
| 08-13 03:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.80 |
| 07-25 13:40 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in July? | BUY | 0.9979999771 | $42.67 |
| 07-25 13:40 | Will Solana reach $140 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999783 | $44.00 |
| 07-25 13:38 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.80 |
| 06-08 14:04 | Will Solana reach $140 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.25 |
| 06-08 14:02 | Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.00 |
| 06-08 14:02 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999894 | $67.87 |
| 05-13 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.28 |
| 05-13 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.67 |
| 04-19 07:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.76 |