PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xauibgo

0x82464f729b35ca51d32120731915d4b360eb578e

Realised P&L
$-5.78
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$102.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana dip to $20 in September? · No0.9990.999$46.23$0.02
Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 14-20? · No0.9990.995$34.10$0.15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.9950.996$22.57+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:01Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.995$22.55
09-17 12:00Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 14-20?BUY0.999$34.25
09-17 12:00Will Solana dip to $20 in September?BUY0.999$46.25
08-13 03:05Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.999$44.85
08-13 03:04Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.996$22.00
08-13 03:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.999$78.80
07-25 13:40Will XRP reach $2.00 in July?BUY0.9979999771$42.67
07-25 13:40Will Solana reach $140 in July?BUY0.9989999783$44.00
07-25 13:38Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on July 27?BUY0.999$58.80
06-08 14:04Will Solana reach $140 June 8-14?BUY0.999$53.25
06-08 14:02Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 8?BUY0.999$24.00
06-08 14:02Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?BUY0.9959999894$67.87
05-13 14:41Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.999$87.28
05-13 14:41Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.999$57.67
04-19 07:33Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?BUY0.999$52.76