PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AZwater

0x8245ea0d5a476678cb354b69e136908f0757ebed

Realised P&L
$-56.5k
Volume
$60.07M
Markets traded
5,659
Open portfolio
$45.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,659
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 16:17Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.93$4.7k
10-31 16:12Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.982$2.8k
10-26 22:42Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.785$7.85
10-26 22:06Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.954$104.94
10-26 22:04Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9873500456$995.68
10-26 22:04Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9878689956$226.22
10-26 22:03Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9786837607$57.25
10-26 22:02Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.999$980.62
10-26 22:01Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.994$185.88
10-26 21:58Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Club of the Year award?BUY0.96$167.44
10-26 13:44Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$29.9k
10-23 19:35Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$20.0k
10-23 03:07Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.928$14.85
10-22 03:04Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.958$252.24
10-20 18:54Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.951$6.1k