PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8244a31bdbb3b611f7d7b3440f54d5ff3d3f16a6

Realised P&L
$-287.94
Volume
$49.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$961.54$38.46
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5140.500$82.68$2.32
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.1300.085$69.96$37.04
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 15:35Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.129999999$107.00
07-19 18:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5899999989$127.00
07-14 10:32Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?SELL0.9703577733$157.23
07-09 21:30Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$7.69
07-08 21:13Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2899999986$120.00
07-08 14:56Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?BUY0.7613503672$123.36
07-07 17:24Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1933333333$29.00
07-04 02:04Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.9$111.11
07-04 00:33Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
07-02 13:51Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999997$100.00
06-29 20:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?SELL0.4591117222$472.46
06-29 01:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?BUY0.3563324166$366.69
06-28 18:11Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6$99.00
06-20 16:26Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?SELL0.004$1.91
06-15 09:43Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?BUY0.4923968535$69.48