hojs
0x8241eafa8b6b4339733e3cbd17bbf78d9a697c70
- Realised P&L
- $-190.77
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $774.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.470 | $340.79 | −$4.04 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? · No | 0.800 | 0.795 | $277.29 | −$1.74 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.230 | 0.191 | $155.38 | −$32.22 |
| Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.058 | $1.16 | −$5.84 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.76 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.38 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in September? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.29at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$21.61at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?
- +$12.98at 0.340Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in September?
- +$7.00at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$1.77at 0.757Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 21:44 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.25 |
| 10-01 15:05 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 09-30 21:02 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.92 |
| 09-30 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0287936508 | $1.81 |
| 09-30 19:30 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 09-30 18:26 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | SELL | 0.34 | $165.24 |
| 09-30 17:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | SELL | 0.76 | $50.16 |
| 09-30 17:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 09-30 16:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.08 |
| 09-30 16:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-30 16:24 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.46 | $37.26 |
| 09-30 12:57 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.4248780488 | $17.42 |
| 09-30 12:56 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-30 12:56 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.43 | $28.53 |
| 09-30 12:53 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.21 |