denhrop
0x823f968673555a4ce9aaf32e58f72c0cbd9beb54
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $203.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.947 | 0.950 | $53.17 | +$0.14 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $51.57 | +$0.27 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.942 | $49.90 | −$1.30 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.994 | 0.978 | $48.90 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$656.15at 0.450Panthers vs. Hurricanes
- +$531.96at 0.560Blue Jays vs. Rays
- +$531.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on June 28?
- +$513.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
- +$1.32at 0.950Kash Patel out by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 07:57 | Reds vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.37 | $263.07 |
| 08-19 13:40 | Dream vs Aces | BUY | 0.45 | $300.15 |
| 06-23 10:53 | Ethereum Up or Down on June 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $432.00 |
| 05-29 09:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $513.00 |
| 05-26 13:02 | Punjab Kings vs. Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.61 | $675.88 |
| 05-23 11:55 | Blue Jays vs. Rays | BUY | 0.56 | $677.04 |
| 05-20 06:34 | XRP Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $568.40 |
| 05-07 06:41 | Stars vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4799999997 | $619.00 |