PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x823d9450DFA3A12a99Ea4eCc0a1080DC775422Eb-1769467644726

0x823d9450dfa3a12a99ea4ecc0a1080dc775422eb

Realised P&L
$-313.78
Volume
$19.9k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$365.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9370.960$143.93+$3.43
Will Arsenal be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7480.780$46.80+$1.90
Will Liverpool be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7900.890$35.60+$4.00
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.5100.465$34.43−$3.33
Will Aston Villa be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.9200.976$29.28+$1.68
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · No0.8220.506$25.32−$15.77
Will Arsenal be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.2100.220$13.20+$0.60
Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.2000.175$8.75−$1.25
Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7400.925$6.76+$1.35
Will Tottenham Hotspur be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.9100.975$4.87+$0.32
Will Manchester United be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.1300.075$4.50−$3.30
Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.2240.075$4.36−$8.65
Will Aston Villa be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.0300.024$4.08−$1.02
Will Igor Thiago (Brentford) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.0500.009$2.85−$12.15
Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.0400.075$0.75+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:38Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.56$3.99
08-26 22:36Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.73$7.30
08-26 22:29Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-28?BUY0.74$5.55
08-25 21:34Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.815$0.16
08-25 18:59Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$94.00
08-25 18:35Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-25?BUY0.53$26.50
08-24 19:21Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.966$11.30
07-24 09:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?SELL0.003$0.12
07-24 09:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?BUY0.06$4.80
07-23 14:35Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.08$9.60
07-23 14:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.36$14.40
07-23 13:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.26$13.00
07-19 00:03Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.35$1.76
07-19 00:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUY0.26$10.40
07-19 00:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?BUY0.16$9.52