PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sherylhouse

0x823757559c3a34e89a21c60dd374806af567be01

Realised P&L
$145.03
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$111.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19? · Yes0.9231.000$30.87+$2.38
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.585$25.60+$0.22
Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.5900.810$20.68+$5.62
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.755$12.91−$0.09
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25? · Yes0.5400.555$11.26+$0.30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.635$9.74+$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 17:41Spread: Ravens (-13.5)BUY0.5599999977$19.38
01-31 13:28Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.9969999699$7.95
01-30 15:45Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.9969999999$7.77
01-30 15:16Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?BUY0.9989999806$24.50
01-30 12:54Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.9983860235$40.36
12-30 09:15Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.999$8.64
12-30 00:30Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$11.18
12-29 22:45Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999747$10.72
12-29 22:42Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.9939999832$34.36
12-29 21:57Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9959999504$16.88
10-30 23:06Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.995$21.15
10-30 22:07Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$22.70
09-29 14:23Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$11.75
09-29 14:09Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.998$11.15
09-29 03:10Will Solana reach $350 in September?BUY0.999$14.85