sherylhouse
0x823757559c3a34e89a21c60dd374806af567be01
- Realised P&L
- $145.03
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $111.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19? · Yes | 0.923 | 1.000 | $30.87 | +$2.38 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.585 | $25.60 | +$0.22 |
| Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No | 0.590 | 0.810 | $20.68 | +$5.62 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $12.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.555 | $11.26 | +$0.30 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.635 | $9.74 | +$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.24at 0.270Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$82.24at 0.560Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
- +$15.23at 0.560Spread: Ravens (-13.5)
- +$5.72at 0.730W35 Wagga Wagga: I Wen Wan vs Yuno Kitahara
- +$1.08at 0.986OpenAI browser in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:41 | Spread: Ravens (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5599999977 | $19.38 |
| 01-31 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999699 | $7.95 |
| 01-30 15:45 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $7.77 |
| 01-30 15:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999806 | $24.50 |
| 01-30 12:54 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.9983860235 | $40.36 |
| 12-30 09:15 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.64 |
| 12-30 00:30 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.18 |
| 12-29 22:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999747 | $10.72 |
| 12-29 22:42 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999832 | $34.36 |
| 12-29 21:57 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9959999504 | $16.88 |
| 10-30 23:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.15 |
| 10-30 22:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.70 |
| 09-29 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.75 |
| 09-29 14:09 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.15 |
| 09-29 03:10 | Will Solana reach $350 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.85 |