random1234
0x8236a4964cdae5d58ee5649ac9369378b4ea7c8c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $108.5k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $725.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$620.55at 0.344Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$91.73at 0.013TikTok banned in 2025?
- +$70.64at 0.737Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
- +$61.20at 0.002TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$38.19at 0.330World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 1
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 01:27 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.88 |
| 06-27 02:33 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.014 | $8.11 |
| 06-26 22:23 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 06-26 22:12 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.009 | $3.44 |
| 06-26 22:08 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.92 | $34.90 |
| 06-26 22:05 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.007 | $6.69 |
| 06-19 02:43 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 06-12 14:34 | Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.1005 | $3.02 |
| 06-12 14:28 | Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.42 | $37.38 |
| 06-06 04:15 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.51 |
| 06-04 12:17 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0128478657 | $17.22 |
| 06-02 21:31 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.015 | $10.62 |
| 06-01 21:18 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.01 | $7.99 |
| 06-01 20:58 | Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.53 |
| 05-31 21:38 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |