PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

random1234

0x8236a4964cdae5d58ee5649ac9369378b4ea7c8c

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$109.9k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$182.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0310.051$79.78+$31.87
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0100.026$59.53+$37.22
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0140.040$22.89+$14.78
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1340.105$16.48$4.50
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.0280.005$1.24$5.62
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No0.4260.991$1.24+$0.71
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0100.001$0.83$16.48
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.0270.001$0.15$8.12
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.0170.001$0.07$2.46
Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.0350.001$0.02$1.44
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago Cubs0.0410.000$0.00$1.00
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024? · No0.0040.000$0.00$9.37
Maduro out in 2024? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$0.05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Philadelphia Phillies0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · San Francisco Giants0.1400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 09:09Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.9551395349$205.36
09-07 06:22Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.94$337.88
09-04 07:20Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.92$575.00
09-04 07:18Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.93$196.23
06-29 01:27Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.012$2.88
06-27 02:33Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.014$8.11
06-26 22:23Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.009$9.00
06-26 22:12Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.009$3.44
06-26 22:08Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?SELL0.92$34.90
06-26 22:05Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.007$6.69
06-19 02:43Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?BUY0.16$4.80
06-12 14:34Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?BUY0.1005$3.02
06-12 14:28Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?SELL0.42$37.38
06-06 04:15Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.011$2.51
06-04 12:17Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0128478657$17.22