0x8232a1706f0ecde5e13b6c81ef82d578410e6fec
0x8232a1706f0ecde5e13b6c81ef82d578410e6fec
- Realised P&L
- $75.17
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $60.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 1.000 | $15.78 | +$8.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.540 | $10.79 | +$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.950 | 1.000 | $10.46 | +$0.52 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.924 | 1.000 | $7.35 | +$0.56 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.780 | 1.000 | $6.32 | +$1.39 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? · Down | 0.500 | 0.535 | $5.15 | +$0.34 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up | 0.990 | 1.000 | $5.02 | +$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.71 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.08at 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$73.33at 0.246Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$69.71at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$51.10at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$42.55at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.97 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999885 | $4.81 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999962 | $2.45 |
| 10-06 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999867 | $4.93 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999482 | $1.68 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $4.96 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999644 | $3.93 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.07 |
| 10-06 16:13 | XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.97 |
| 10-06 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999774 | $4.88 |
| 10-06 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.04 |
| 10-06 16:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $4.97 |
| 10-06 16:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $4.97 |
| 10-06 16:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $4.97 |
| 10-06 16:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999906 | $4.97 |