PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8232048bbd1b732431faf4da28c6e6ec50585ef2

Realised P&L
$-15.53
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$2.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$2.01$0.67
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.90
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.95
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.95
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 09:52Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.002$2.68
05-30 09:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?SELL0.4$2.19
05-30 09:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?BUY0.4898376956$2.68
05-30 08:58Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?SELL0.0425963556$2.31
05-29 22:11Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.009$1.56
05-29 22:07Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.01$1.73
05-29 21:48Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL0.022024$1.82
05-29 21:35Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.028$2.31
05-29 21:30Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.032$1.57
05-29 20:46Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.0217556675$0.86
05-29 20:22Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.002$2.68
05-29 20:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?SELL0.031$1.55
05-29 19:32Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.36$1.40
05-29 18:55Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.001$1.90
05-29 18:47Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?SELL0.025$1.68