TheTank-
0x822399dc9b16d6390983642812c7c8a00f267cec
- Realised P&L
- $-275.63
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.61at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?
- +$73.41at 0.143Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 25?
- +$1.31at 0.017Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 30?
- +$-0.08at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 15?
- +$-6.00at 0.060Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.63 |
| 08-05 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.0098735428 | $6.78 |
| 08-05 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.33 |
| 08-01 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.0309175952 | $25.25 |
| 08-01 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on August 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-30 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.0409521537 | $21.63 |
| 07-25 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.1438011406 | $11.60 |
| 07-16 19:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16? | SELL | 0.417205233 | $45.92 |
| 07-16 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16? | SELL | 0.418 | $22.99 |
| 07-16 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16? | BUY | 0.128 | $4.01 |
| 07-15 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16? | BUY | 0.1426344454 | $50.02 |
| 07-15 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16? | BUY | 0.36 | $47.53 |
| 07-15 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15? | SELL | 0.066 | $22.34 |
| 07-14 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15? | BUY | 0.097 | $36.35 |