ssxd49
0x821b445fa091c3bb3e8e1a1a83b2d08e7ac42eb6
- Realised P&L
- $-297.46
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $41.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.989 | $17.48 | +$0.54 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.835 | $14.20 | −$0.77 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.948 | 0.984 | $9.84 | +$0.36 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins · Maple Leafs | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$298.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.92at 0.979Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.30at 0.910Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.29at 0.993Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.14at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
- +$0.13at 0.9952024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 27? | BUY | 0.9979996747 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 03:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.17 |
| 02-24 03:38 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $15.70 |
| 09-29 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.979 | $42.80 |
| 07-17 10:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? | SELL | 0.994 | $42.67 |
| 03-30 00:37 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $40.46 |
| 03-30 00:37 | Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.927 | $33.52 |
| 03-30 00:36 | Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.95 |
| 02-13 02:07 | Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9469999997 | $34.25 |
| 02-13 02:06 | Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 02:06 | Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | BUY | 0.978999833 | $4.80 |
| 02-13 02:01 | Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | SELL | 0.996 | $40.05 |
| 01-20 05:48 | Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | BUY | 0.998 | $40.13 |
| 01-20 05:48 | Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | BUY | 0.9449999761 | $1.78 |