PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MoneyMachineLupLup

0x8215ec6d93e1eee909d1167a5f5f73ed20b2039f

Realised P&L
$161.35
Volume
$42.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$213.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1080.041$199.41−$330.60
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0600.009$13.60−$82.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$448.03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$312.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 15:39Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.063$312.20
05-16 17:31China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1076455877$530.00
02-17 18:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.5899999997$448.03
02-06 22:34Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.06$47.57
02-01 07:11US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?SELL0.08$30.40
02-01 07:11US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.42$335.98
01-30 10:59US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.46$78.02
01-30 10:59US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?BUY0.27$5.40
01-20 19:39US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.19$38.00
01-12 17:00US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.19$76.00
01-12 08:00US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.44$88.00
01-12 08:00US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.23$92.00
01-12 06:47Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.31$196.85
01-05 16:28China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.18$90.00
01-04 09:47China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1941437613$405.00