TR8
0x8210ab8384234289f86d51f7755ae6c63d905a2c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $150.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$374.00at 0.240Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$-15.63at 0.3202024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$-106.37at 0.2702024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
- +$-108.00at 0.070Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?
- +$-270.00at 0.220Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 15:09 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.00 |
| 06-05 17:35 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 17:37 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:15 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008999997 | $2.96 |
| 05-18 17:31 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 16:41 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:41 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0139999878 | $1.14 |
| 05-06 00:23 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0150000001 | $1.04 |
| 05-02 18:52 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 00:54 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $1.44 |
| 04-19 18:16 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0170000002 | $1.43 |
| 04-12 00:46 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.47 |
| 04-05 19:08 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.09 |
| 03-31 21:05 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.53 |
| 03-24 20:58 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $70.36 |