PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TR8

0x8210ab8384234289f86d51f7755ae6c63d905a2c

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$150.7k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 15:09Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$6.00
06-05 17:35Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0139999861$1.00
05-31 17:37Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
05-27 18:15Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008999997$2.96
05-18 17:31Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
05-14 16:41Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$1.00
05-10 17:41Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0139999878$1.14
05-06 00:23Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0150000001$1.04
05-02 18:52Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
04-27 00:54Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0170000001$1.44
04-19 18:16Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0170000002$1.43
04-12 00:46Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.015$1.47
04-05 19:08Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.016$1.09
03-31 21:05Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$1.53
03-24 20:58Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$70.36