PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x820f615169df18e1b0ef78666cfd996be77848a9

0x820f615169df18e1b0ef78666cfd996be77848a9

Realised P&L
$-72.48
Volume
$962.95
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$25.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.7201.000$13.89+$3.89
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.5900.745$6.31+$1.31
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.255$2.83−$2.17
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.150$2.42−$2.58
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$10.00
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) · Qatar0.5500.000$0.00−$15.00
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 · Under0.4500.000$0.00−$15.00
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Scotland0.5300.000$0.00−$15.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.5650.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) · Haiti0.5100.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 03:00Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5BUY0.6$10.00
06-28 03:00Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
06-28 03:00Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
06-24 21:56Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.5099999956$15.00
06-24 21:51Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.5099999956$15.00
06-24 21:24Spread: Brazil (-1.5)BUY0.5299999982$15.00
06-24 19:41Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5BUY0.449999988$15.00
06-23 21:06Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)BUY0.549999989$15.00
06-23 20:21Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.5599999895$15.00
06-23 20:09Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.5699999939$15.00
06-23 15:28Spread: Portugal (-2.5)BUY0.4599999926$15.00
06-15 20:58Spread: Belgium (-1.5)BUY0.5599999595$4.98
06-15 20:58Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.76$2.00
06-15 20:57Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.25$5.00
06-15 20:57Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.6099999756$5.00