PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VaraksinViktor

0x820e36a499f2b3071317109133d374fcf818285a

Realised P&L
$-53.14
Volume
$31.5k
Markets traded
473
Open portfolio
$11.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded473
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.1200.317$2.64+$1.64
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0110.022$2.06+$1.06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes0.0800.135$1.69+$0.69
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes0.1860.177$0.95−$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$0.79−$0.21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0030.001$0.39−$0.61
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0080.002$0.26−$0.74
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18? · Yes0.2100.027$0.13−$0.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · Yes0.0500.002$0.03−$0.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 09:51Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-18 09:47Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.1859999684$1.00
10-18 06:54Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-18 06:51Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?BUY0.0078126221$1.00
10-18 06:51Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00
10-18 05:51Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00
10-18 05:51Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.0025641519$1.00
10-18 05:49Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00
10-18 05:49Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.0109382862$1.00
10-18 05:43Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-18 05:41Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-17 12:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?BUY0.04$1.00
10-17 10:42Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
10-17 10:41Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
10-17 10:34Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18?BUY0.2099999895$1.00