VaraksinViktor
0x820e36a499f2b3071317109133d374fcf818285a
- Realised P&L
- $-53.14
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 473
- Open portfolio
- $11.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded473
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.21at 0.018Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?
- +$40.23at 0.059Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$36.98at 0.067Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
- +$28.00at 0.056Will the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on February 5?
- +$20.33at 0.034Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 09:51 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:47 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1859999684 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:51 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0078126221 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:51 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:51 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:51 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0025641519 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:49 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:49 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0109382862 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:43 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 10:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 10:41 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 10:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |