PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x820934bee5c1acd261878cc999713313e4175640

0x820934bee5c1acd261878cc999713313e4175640

Realised P&L
$-4.31
Volume
$296.90
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$1.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · No0.7700.745$0.97−$0.03
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.6200.465$0.75−$0.25
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · Yes0.3200.035$0.11−$0.89
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? · Down0.3400.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 14:53Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-20 06:53SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-19 22:53Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-18 14:52Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.728$1.00
10-18 06:50Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-16 18:16Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-16 08:39Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-14 23:57Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-11 14:51Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-11 06:50Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-10 06:14Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-09 09:34Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?BUY0.64$1.00
10-09 00:42Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7849998783$1.00
10-07 16:24Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-07 08:01Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00