PolyBot

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Traders

fasolon

0x8208d1a92f16f9bfa11d7b0efea88a0d78d7afbb

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$53.4k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5830.755$442.79+$100.95
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8740.840$294.00$12.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.315$189.00$15.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7400.355$71.00$77.00
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8000.195$31.20$96.80
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.160$19.20$2.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? · No0.2300.000$0.00$2.30
Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$99.36
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale? · Yes0.2050.000$0.00$13.92
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$4.74
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$93.49
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00$5.01
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00$49.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 13:03Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$261.00
09-08 21:42Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.96$288.00
09-05 13:39Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.6783196667$203.50
09-04 21:36Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$6.05
08-30 12:28Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$282.00
07-14 18:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.91$455.00
07-14 11:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.62$62.00
06-27 05:54Will Solana reach $100 in June?BUY0.998$617.76
06-06 10:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?BUY0.71$71.00
05-29 18:24MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.801$39.63
05-27 13:57Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?SELL0.98$98.00
05-26 20:02Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.052$24.44
05-26 20:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?SELL0.26$2.60
05-26 16:48Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?BUY0.34$3.40
05-26 16:39Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.14$2.26