fasolon
0x8208d1a92f16f9bfa11d7b0efea88a0d78d7afbb
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$463.80at 0.870Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$194.75at 0.662Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$136.40at 0.830Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$130.00at 0.790Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$110.37at 0.450Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 13:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $261.00 |
| 09-08 21:42 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.96 | $288.00 |
| 09-05 13:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.6783196667 | $203.50 |
| 09-04 21:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.05 |
| 08-30 12:28 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 07-14 18:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 07-14 11:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 06-27 05:54 | Will Solana reach $100 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $617.76 |
| 06-06 10:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 05-29 18:24 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.801 | $39.63 |
| 05-27 13:57 | Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 05-26 20:02 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $24.44 |
| 05-26 20:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 05-26 16:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 05-26 16:39 | Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.26 |