PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HoldenBloodfeast

0x8204c2803f9b69e6a623ac70c92a049699ed56ea

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$1.24M
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$940.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.025$367.50+$37.51
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.011$147.00$35.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3250.125$125.00$200.00
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.004$112.50$247.50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.835$83.50$7.50
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.460$46.00$24.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.002$37.50$287.50
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.855$21.38+$0.63
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$128.19
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00$254.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$2.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$3.8k
08-02 02:28Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$182.00
08-02 02:26Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
08-02 02:23SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$70.00
08-02 00:24Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$20.75
08-01 23:58US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.7583591164$758.37
07-23 12:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.39$195.00
07-23 12:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.71$1.4k
07-20 23:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.45$225.00
07-20 23:23Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.31$217.00
07-20 23:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.927$381.92
07-20 23:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.74$3.0k
07-16 22:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.255$255.00
07-16 21:57US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.7$700.00
07-16 21:55Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.022$330.00