ethric
0x82041309cfa4c2826f6de05ed68d1019c8d564ec
- Realised P&L
- $-16.18
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $79.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.265 | $79.50 | −$67.50 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.74at 0.740Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$8.42at 0.940Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$8.20at 0.918Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$5.72at 0.950Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$2.86at 0.970Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 13:01 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.10 |
| 03-14 13:01 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0390243902 | $2.00 |
| 02-10 02:12 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.54 |
| 02-10 02:11 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.94 |
| 02-09 08:20 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 02-09 08:19 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0116618076 | $2.00 |
| 01-24 08:08 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.3803013106 | $154.66 |
| 01-24 08:08 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.3839999988 | $156.17 |
| 01-24 08:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $3.47 |
| 01-24 08:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $1.94 |
| 01-24 08:04 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $154.73 |
| 01-24 08:04 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.3829999991 | $155.95 |
| 11-25 09:19 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.992 | $148.46 |
| 11-17 08:45 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $142.18 |
| 11-17 08:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |