0x82001288E3B1f5dd413E3126a34E1583BAdedF37-1769545569117
0x82001288e3b1f5dd413e3126a34e1583badedf37
- Realised P&L
- $10.6k
- Volume
- $754.4k
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.822Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
- +$1.9kat 0.528Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$1.8kat 0.355Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?
- +$1.4kat 0.398Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$1.3kat 0.405Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 12:32 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999998 | $1.0k |
| 09-06 04:32 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.46 |
| 09-06 03:53 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0030312905 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 03:48 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.5723928973 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 03:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0698083699 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 03:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0580136272 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 03:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 03:43 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 03:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 03:37 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 03:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 03:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0687891366 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 03:30 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.29 |
| 09-06 03:30 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2789576831 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 03:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.445987008 | $100.00 |