WearyWanderer
0x81fa86d4bc777ee0b2d0b7dd644ca3e8bcc6c4d6
- Realised P&L
- $12.2k
- Volume
- $270.4k
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.530Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.2kat 0.375Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$1.7kat 0.309Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
- +$1.2kat 0.778Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
- +$1.1kat 0.484Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:04 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1901874311 | $34.50 |
| 09-27 15:54 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.213 | $7.51 |
| 09-27 15:52 | Spread: Vikings (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.2165436414 | $75.00 |
| 09-22 02:38 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 02:27 | Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.2854330705 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 02:25 | Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.7 | $42.79 |
| 09-22 02:24 | Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 16:46 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 15:58 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 15:46 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4099999793 | $10.91 |
| 08-30 15:44 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 15:43 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5315431444 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 01:35 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 18:09 | Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.81 |