PolyBot

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Traders

WearyWanderer

0x81fa86d4bc777ee0b2d0b7dd644ca3e8bcc6c4d6

Realised P&L
$12.2k
Volume
$270.4k
Markets traded
330
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded330
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.635$3.4k+$939.59
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.046$193.68+$49.81
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.7000.755$154.01+$11.22
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5050.595$153.10+$23.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2730.041$116.85−$661.15
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2600.295$113.57+$13.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4610.080$98.18−$467.94
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.2850.225$81.08−$21.52
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.2160.179$68.31−$14.20
Spread: Vikings (-1.5) · Vikings0.4801.000$62.47+$32.47
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? · Yes0.1860.240$51.16+$11.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1660.024$49.61−$300.39
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.7200.850$9.99+$1.53
Patriots vs. Jaguars · Patriots0.4100.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 16:04Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?BUY0.1901874311$34.50
09-27 15:54Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.213$7.51
09-27 15:52Spread: Vikings (-1.5)BUY0.48$30.00
09-27 02:52Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.2165436414$75.00
09-22 02:38Patriots vs. JaguarsBUY0.4099999984$15.00
09-22 02:27Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.2854330705$100.00
09-22 02:25Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.7$42.79
09-22 02:24Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.6999999993$100.00
08-30 16:46Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
08-30 15:58Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.489999998$30.00
08-30 15:46Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.4099999793$10.91
08-30 15:44Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.5599999989$20.00
08-30 15:43Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.5315431444$30.00
08-30 01:35Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.5099999985$100.00
08-14 18:09Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?BUY0.95$38.81