PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

WearyWanderer

0x81fa86d4bc777ee0b2d0b7dd644ca3e8bcc6c4d6

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$274.4k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.905$4.9k+$2.4k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4610.575$705.69+$139.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2730.245$698.25$79.75
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.9150.967$561.55+$29.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1660.105$221.67$128.33
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.043$178.69+$34.82
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2600.380$146.29+$46.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 20:55Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.4599999958$50.00
07-26 18:55Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.7599999985$100.00
07-25 02:43Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.2699999977$63.90
07-25 02:38Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.2799999981$100.00
07-19 02:57Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansSELL0.36$40.00
07-19 02:42Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.9$100.00
07-18 18:42Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$101.84
07-16 16:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.583$251.91
07-16 16:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$214.43
07-16 16:35Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0392166084$17.00
07-10 04:57Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.7899999982$60.00
07-10 03:06Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4$10.00
07-10 02:40Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.5599999776$10.00
07-10 02:30Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.6599999954$20.00
07-10 01:40Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.1497005988$15.00