WearyWanderer
0x81fa86d4bc777ee0b2d0b7dd644ca3e8bcc6c4d6
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $274.4k
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.905 | $4.9k | +$2.4k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.461 | 0.575 | $705.69 | +$139.57 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.245 | $698.25 | −$79.75 |
| Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.967 | $561.55 | +$29.96 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.105 | $221.67 | −$128.33 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.043 | $178.69 | +$34.82 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.380 | $146.29 | +$46.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.530Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.2kat 0.375Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$1.7kat 0.309Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
- +$1.2kat 0.778Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
- +$1.1kat 0.484Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:55 | Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 18:55 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 02:43 | Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.2699999977 | $63.90 |
| 07-25 02:38 | Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 02:57 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.36 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 02:42 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 18:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $101.84 |
| 07-16 16:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $251.91 |
| 07-16 16:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $214.43 |
| 07-16 16:35 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0392166084 | $17.00 |
| 07-10 04:57 | Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.7899999982 | $60.00 |
| 07-10 03:06 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 02:40 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 02:30 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 01:40 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.1497005988 | $15.00 |