TinyRise
0x81f8dd54a4b5202f069ed598dc3f81f2eede8f7c
- Realised P&L
- $13.2k
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $298.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar47.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.019 | $152.72 | −$347.28 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.040 | $120.84 | −$94.16 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.061 | $24.44 | −$10.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.2kat 0.212Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0711693707 | $215.00 |
| 10-28 17:17 | Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0638430643 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 22:18 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.088058068 | $35.00 |
| 10-16 00:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2056305033 | $3.4k |