0x81f89d671470Aa34d93fbEC3114486002b364262-1783889730044
0x81f89d671470aa34d93fbec3114486002b364262
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $48.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5? · No | 0.299 | 0.330 | $48.30 | +$4.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.340Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.695Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$0.00at 0.750Will FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
- +$0.00at 0.904Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
- +$0.00at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-03 02:49 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.42 |
| 09-15 06:12 | Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-15 00:28 | Will Zendaya – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 09-13 06:58 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 01:38 | Will Fabiano Contarato win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.699544177 | $3.50 |
| 09-13 01:38 | Will Rose de Freitas win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.844 | $4.22 |
| 09-13 00:08 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 09-13 00:01 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-12 23:50 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-12 20:46 | Will Rose de Freitas win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.805 | $8.05 |
| 09-12 20:46 | Will Fabiano Contarato win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.709 | $7.09 |
| 09-12 20:10 | Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 09-12 17:13 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |