Sasioverlxrd99
0x81f8850798f3bab3fa7a7bb902eba7a76598ead6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $189.6k
- Markets traded
- 968
- Open portfolio
- $123.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded968
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Raptors · Knicks | 0.250 | 0.225 | $101.92 | −$11.32 |
| Pacers vs. Thunder · Pacers | 0.270 | 0.275 | $21.39 | +$0.39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$540.79at 0.268Lakers vs. Thunder
- +$393.26at 0.336Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?
- +$336.58at 0.160Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?
- +$324.89at 0.281Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?
- +$320.27at 0.297Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:31 | Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.25 | $8.24 |
| 10-13 16:30 | Pacers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $21.00 |
| 10-13 16:29 | Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.25 | $105.00 |
| 10-13 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999971 | $18.00 |
| 10-13 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $16.00 |
| 10-13 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999971 | $19.00 |
| 10-13 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5548926588 | $70.62 |
| 10-08 03:56 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.4299999967 | $43.31 |
| 10-07 18:04 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.5799999972 | $29.02 |
| 10-05 19:52 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.4 | $33.76 |
| 10-05 18:31 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.4 | $3.30 |
| 10-05 18:31 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.4 | $123.39 |
| 10-05 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $15.00 |