0x81f35897a435656e1312ea50e5f0f11ee0ad1f2a
0x81f35897a435656e1312ea50e5f0f11ee0ad1f2a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $234.1k
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $815.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Penn State (-2.5) · Penn State | 0.520 | 0.515 | $485.85 | −$4.72 |
| Spread: Liberty (-7.5) · Liberty | 0.450 | 0.600 | $210.89 | +$52.72 |
| Browns vs. Jets · Browns | 0.470 | 0.465 | $70.68 | −$0.76 |
| Chargers vs. Seahawks · Seahawks | 0.500 | 0.755 | $24.84 | +$8.39 |
| Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth · James Duckworth | 0.720 | 1.000 | $13.75 | +$3.85 |
| Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.425 | $9.66 | −$1.70 |
| Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic · Dino Prizmic | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.88 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.85 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tien · Ben Shelton | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul · Tommy Paul | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.50 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.35 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) · Giants | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$244.90 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.85 |
| Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Jenson Brooksby | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.56 |
| Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.495Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)
- +$1.0kat 0.490Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)
- +$942.42at 0.509Spread: Liberty (-2.5)
- +$905.66at 0.520Spread: Delaware (-4.5)
- +$786.25at 0.499Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:49 | Spread: Penn State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $490.56 |
| 10-02 01:01 | Spread: Tulsa (-1.5) | SELL | 0.38 | $94.62 |
| 10-02 00:11 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $48.53 |
| 10-02 00:00 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.61 | $491.93 |
| 10-01 00:52 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert | BUY | 0.3399999986 | $24.28 |
| 10-01 00:30 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet | BUY | 0.6299999916 | $24.61 |
| 10-01 00:25 | Set Handicap: Frances Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $44.59 |
| 09-27 15:09 | Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $14.30 |
| 09-27 15:08 | Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $19.60 |
| 09-27 15:08 | Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $35.40 |
| 09-26 19:20 | Spread: Georgia (-13.5) | BUY | 0.4599999906 | $4.89 |
| 09-26 18:02 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.4199999862 | $4.88 |
| 09-26 17:58 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.4199999862 | $4.88 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Butler vs. Valparaiso | BUY | 0.2999999938 | $9.67 |
| 09-24 14:24 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.3099999952 | $9.69 |