Dynvest
0x81f06a45509d0daad35ef6587bcad9652a3971ed
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $824.6k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.659Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.508Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- +$781.95at 0.763Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
- +$680.44at 0.223US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$574.87at 0.175US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:32 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 10-30 17:30 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 10-26 20:26 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.17 | $255.00 |
| 10-26 20:02 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1784793333 | $267.72 |
| 10-26 15:30 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.345843324 | $299.89 |
| 10-26 15:12 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.293 | $293.00 |
| 10-26 14:39 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.9184669991 | $2.1k |
| 10-26 14:38 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 14:25 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.06463608 | $161.59 |
| 10-26 14:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.305 | $305.00 |
| 10-26 14:17 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.312143545 | $624.29 |
| 10-26 14:03 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.30504 | $152.52 |
| 10-26 06:46 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0999950972 | $28.76 |
| 10-25 09:23 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1692341 | $84.62 |
| 10-25 09:19 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1664244686 | $291.24 |