PolyBot

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Traders

Dynvest

0x81f06a45509d0daad35ef6587bcad9652a3971ed

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$824.6k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1180.135$3.4k+$427.99
ECB rate cut in 2026? · No0.7550.975$1.2k+$264.58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2800.285$285.00+$5.00
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0250.153$153.50+$128.61
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1530.110$110.00−$42.72
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1940.004$10.28−$489.71
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$48.87
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$150.00
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$5.3k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5890.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? · No0.6280.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$536.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 17:32Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.28$280.00
10-30 17:30Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.11$550.00
10-26 20:26Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.17$255.00
10-26 20:02Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1784793333$267.72
10-26 15:30Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.345843324$299.89
10-26 15:12Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.293$293.00
10-26 14:39Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.9184669991$2.1k
10-26 14:38Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.1$1.0k
10-26 14:25Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.06463608$161.59
10-26 14:18Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.305$305.00
10-26 14:17Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.312143545$624.29
10-26 14:03Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.30504$152.52
10-26 06:46Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.0999950972$28.76
10-25 09:23Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.1692341$84.62
10-25 09:19Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.1664244686$291.24