Dynvest
0x81f06a45509d0daad35ef6587bcad9652a3971ed
- Realised P&L
- $220.89
- Volume
- $763.2k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.570Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.508Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- +$680.44at 0.223US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$574.87at 0.175US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$544.76at 0.074Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:35 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.694995 | $139.00 |
| 09-14 16:27 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $360.00 |
| 09-14 16:26 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.69 | $141.45 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $450.00 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.022 | $66.00 |
| 09-13 20:29 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.083 | $41.50 |
| 09-10 22:17 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 09-10 00:36 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.68736 | $171.84 |
| 09-10 00:35 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 09-09 07:43 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.108 | $54.00 |
| 09-09 07:41 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 07:38 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.00977387 | $48.87 |
| 09-09 07:37 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 09-08 18:36 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.039 | $19.50 |
| 09-07 20:12 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.075 | $75.00 |