0x81ec7b9f8b27878611f63b3f56bb5999db269a4e
0x81ec7b9f8b27878611f63b3f56bb5999db269a4e
- Realised P&L
- $10.15
- Volume
- $365.63
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $7.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.465 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.930 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.545 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · No | 0.400 | 0.435 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.655 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.720 | 0.735 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.31at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$4.38at 0.329Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.369Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.22at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$3.08at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:37 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:43 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:42 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:31 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:32 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:16 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:39 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999879 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 19:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.74 |
| 09-23 11:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999558 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 03:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4199999558 | $2.09 |
| 09-22 19:36 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999122 | $2.09 |