0x81EaA31fD55843FAc81883177AbFbE70A25DAB54-1770394050950
0x81eaa31fd55843fac81883177abfbe70a25dab54
- Realised P&L
- $-678.06
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $9.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.02at 0.740Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$99.18at 0.889Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$61.01at 0.711Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?
- +$18.27at 0.846Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$15.17at 0.397ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 03:17 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.89 | $914.60 |
| 05-03 04:05 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.999 | $900.23 |
| 05-01 09:49 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9139999998 | $400.00 |
| 04-27 14:12 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.863 | $200.00 |
| 04-27 14:11 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8619999996 | $100.00 |
| 04-21 10:02 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $9.70 |
| 04-21 09:48 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.8455409928 | $100.00 |
| 04-21 09:48 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 09:47 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8639999997 | $100.00 |
| 04-21 09:44 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3649999921 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 15:13 | Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars? | BUY | 0.495000495 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 14:57 | Will Iran strike eight countries in March? | BUY | 0.0731903681 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 14:57 | Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 14:46 | Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |