PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x81EaA31fD55843FAc81883177AbFbE70A25DAB54-1770394050950

0x81eaa31fd55843fac81883177abfbe70a25dab54

Realised P&L
$-678.06
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$9.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? · Yes0.9300.920$9.89−$0.11
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$914.60
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran strike eight countries in March? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.4070.000$0.00−$8.70
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 27? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars? · Yes0.4950.000$0.00−$10.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-09 03:17Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.89$914.60
05-03 04:05Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.999$900.23
05-01 09:49Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9139999998$400.00
04-27 14:12Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.863$200.00
04-27 14:11Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.8619999996$100.00
04-21 10:02Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?BUY0.85$10.00
04-21 09:53Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.699999993$9.70
04-21 09:48Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.8455409928$100.00
04-21 09:48Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.08$50.00
04-21 09:47Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.8639999997$100.00
04-21 09:44Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3649999921$20.00
03-04 15:13Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?BUY0.495000495$10.00
03-04 14:57Will Iran strike eight countries in March?BUY0.0731903681$10.00
03-04 14:57Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?BUY0.9$100.00
03-04 14:46Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?BUY0.9299999953$10.00