hovyhov111
0x81e81e0fa5b5b3cf61fb838b2124badcf433e986
- Realised P&L
- $-283.81
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $171.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.00at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$196.58at 0.404Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$144.00at 0.820Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$123.00at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$63.10at 0.369Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:11 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $24.84 |
| 09-19 15:10 | Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accords" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 15:08 | Will Netanyahu say "Nuclear" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8499999986 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 19:22 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1529475868 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 19:20 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.7845084402 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 12:38 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.77084583 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 06:40 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.87935 | $175.87 |
| 02-28 06:40 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 01-19 19:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 01-19 19:40 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 01-14 22:08 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.284340434 | $28.43 |
| 01-14 22:06 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.2748529446 | $47.88 |
| 01-14 19:34 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.065 | $13.00 |
| 01-14 19:21 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |