1ncondition
0x81e7da2f2b94b160466916443b2624bbe3e6779f
- Realised P&L
- $665.09
- Volume
- $166.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $727.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.835 | $417.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.530 | 0.445 | $267.00 | −$51.00 |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $42.50 | −$17.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.095Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$346.59at 0.590Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?
- +$260.02at 0.627Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$192.77at 0.640Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$118.70at 0.650Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 01:40 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.209867 | $41.97 |
| 07-01 16:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0692307333 | $20.77 |
| 06-30 03:46 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.47 |
| 06-29 23:24 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.20 |
| 06-17 17:09 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 06-11 18:59 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.69 | $115.23 |
| 11-25 21:52 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.67 |
| 11-25 21:39 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 11-25 19:56 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.08 |
| 11-25 19:26 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 11-13 15:32 | Will Aztec launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.77 | $231.00 |
| 11-11 12:20 | Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.928 | $278.40 |
| 10-30 12:46 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.9 | $76.50 |
| 10-30 10:26 | Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 09:25 | Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.969 | $110.80 |