PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1ncondition

0x81e7da2f2b94b160466916443b2624bbe3e6779f

Realised P&L
$665.09
Volume
$166.0k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$727.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8700.835$417.50$17.50
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.5300.445$267.00$51.00
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.1200.085$42.50$17.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 01:40Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.209867$41.97
07-01 16:20Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0692307333$20.77
06-30 03:46Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.012$1.47
06-29 23:24Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$1.20
06-17 17:09Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.9$180.00
06-11 18:59Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.69$115.23
11-25 21:52Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?SELL0.04$1.67
11-25 21:39Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?SELL0.01$1.00
11-25 19:56Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?BUY0.27$5.08
11-25 19:26Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?BUY0.31$31.00
11-13 15:32Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?BUY0.77$231.00
11-11 12:20Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.928$278.40
10-30 12:46Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.9$76.50
10-30 10:26Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.999$100.00
10-30 09:25Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.969$110.80