0x81e4C255F2dcC72a81D8A039878854a6D45e6c27-1779617601143
0x81e4c255f2dcc72a81d8a039878854a6d45e6c27
- Realised P&L
- $-75.29
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $81.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.28at 0.327Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?
- +$18.84at 0.834Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?
- +$17.34at 0.802Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?
- +$16.71at 0.783Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?
- +$14.79at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $80.00 |
| 10-05 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $82.39 |
| 10-05 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $80.00 |
| 10-04 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $83.25 |
| 10-03 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $80.00 |
| 10-03 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $77.98 |
| 10-03 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.8966859037 | $70.00 |
| 10-02 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.9877089848 | $84.65 |
| 10-02 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9217276242 | $79.00 |
| 10-02 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.36 |
| 10-02 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.29 |
| 10-02 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.8537458824 | $72.57 |