PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x81e4C255F2dcC72a81D8A039878854a6D45e6c27-1779617601143

0x81e4c255f2dcc72a81d8a039878854a6d45e6c27

Realised P&L
$-75.29
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
264
Open portfolio
$81.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded264
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 11:21Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?BUY0.98$80.00
10-05 08:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?SELL0.999$82.39
10-05 06:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?BUY0.97$80.00
10-04 13:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4?BUY0.299999985$4.00
10-03 16:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?SELL0.999$83.25
10-03 13:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.96$80.00
10-03 07:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3?SELL0.999$77.98
10-03 06:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.8966859037$70.00
10-02 15:17Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2?SELL0.9877089848$84.65
10-02 13:59Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.9217276242$79.00
10-02 13:42Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 2?SELL0.998$16.36
10-02 08:51Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 2?SELL0.29$3.29
10-02 08:40Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 2?BUY0.609999986$10.00
10-02 05:38Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
10-01 18:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?SELL0.8537458824$72.57