0x81dd8ff9befc1cbea7f5a8395b368d0dfe96a291
0x81dd8ff9befc1cbea7f5a8395b368d0dfe96a291
- Realised P&L
- $25.10
- Volume
- $856.66
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $28.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev · Daniil Medvedev | 0.613 | 0.605 | $14.55 | −$0.20 |
| Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.500 | 0.575 | $9.57 | +$1.25 |
| Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.595 | $4.87 | −$0.04 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.87 |
| Rams Team Total: O/U 23.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.84 |
| Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5) · Daniil Medvedev | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.31 |
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin · Dan Added | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.28 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D · Nongshim RedForce | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.81 |
| Spread: Army (-3.5) · Temple | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.08 |
| Ole Miss vs. Florida · Ole Miss | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.82 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox · Cleveland Guardians | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.56 |
| Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego · Lorenzo Sonego | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Army vs. Temple · Temple | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.88 |
| Panthers vs. Browns · Panthers | 0.364 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.35at 0.230San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$20.25at 0.500Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
- +$14.62at 0.400Bari: Lorenzo Angelini vs Garrett Johns
- +$12.50at 0.500Raiders vs. Saints
- +$10.64at 0.500San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 06:36 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SELL | 0.19 | $4.27 |
| 09-29 06:02 | Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.5999999756 | $4.91 |
| 09-29 06:02 | Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.6199999899 | $4.92 |
| 09-29 04:29 | Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.6099999795 | $9.83 |
| 09-29 02:24 | Eagles vs. Bears | SELL | 0.16 | $2.42 |
| 09-28 17:05 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6499999835 | $9.85 |
| 09-28 05:07 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac | BUY | 0.7 | $5.81 |
| 09-28 00:41 | Rams Team Total: O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $6.84 |
| 09-27 18:10 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.3 | $9.67 |
| 09-27 16:33 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $4.90 |
| 09-27 16:20 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.5999999756 | $4.91 |
| 09-27 16:19 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.5399999933 | $6.40 |
| 09-27 04:43 | Minnesota vs. Washington | BUY | 0.6 | $9.83 |
| 09-27 03:31 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $4.87 |
| 09-27 01:36 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 0.48 | $4.89 |